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2024-12-13 05:37:18

According to the analysis of relevant market participants, the overall tone of this meeting is positive, indicating that "a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year", indicating that on the basis of the current policy, the overweight of the overall policy will continue. At the same time, the major conference mentioned the word "extraordinary" for the first time, or indicated that the follow-up policy measures would be more diversified.This meeting is more clear about the deployment of the capital market, and its position is relatively high, indicating that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", which is directly beneficial to the capital market and the real estate market.From October 8 to last Friday's breakthrough, this two-month triangle arrangement has basically come to an end. If the accumulation of Friday's breakthrough in this triangle is purely due to some uncertain factors, then this meeting will convey more than expected content, which will be able to consolidate the breakthrough trend here.


No matter what kind of trend, since the market has chosen to break through this triangle accumulation, especially the triangle accumulation is just two months, it will not end the rise at once, not to mention the good blessing. This place is not suitable for chasing high, but more suitable for holding positions.If the market goes high and falls back, it is a good thing to take the opportunity to do some low-sucking. If it is high and high, it is only suitable for holding positions, not for chasing. Since the expected market on 10.8 has been reflected in the stock price, it is difficult to reproduce this trend this time. After all, after everyone has been fooled by chasing the quilt cover, they will definitely not be fooled again, so this time it will be much milder.In terms of fiscal policy, it is said that "a more active fiscal policy should be implemented", and deficit ratio in narrow sense and broad sense is expected to expand obviously. Monetary policy changed to "moderate easing" for the second time since 2008.


Generally speaking, the expression of this meeting exceeded the market expectation, and the most important keywords were "unconventional", "stabilizing the property market and stock market" and "moderately loose".If the market goes high and falls back, it is a good thing to take the opportunity to do some low-sucking. If it is high and high, it is only suitable for holding positions, not for chasing. Since the expected market on 10.8 has been reflected in the stock price, it is difficult to reproduce this trend this time. After all, after everyone has been fooled by chasing the quilt cover, they will definitely not be fooled again, so this time it will be much milder.In terms of fiscal policy, it is said that "a more active fiscal policy should be implemented", and deficit ratio in narrow sense and broad sense is expected to expand obviously. Monetary policy changed to "moderate easing" for the second time since 2008.

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